economics

 
Dambisa Moyo

Dambisa Moyo, speaking at the FCCC Event in Beijing, November 1, 2010.

Dambisa Moyo is an international economist from Zambia who specializes in macroeconomics and global affairs.  A former consultant for the World Bank, Moyo worked for Goldman Sachs in London for nearly a decade before authoring the controversial — but Oprah-endorsed — bestseller, Dead Aid: Why Aid is Not Working and How there is a Better Way for Africa. Moyo holds an archipelago of degrees from world-renowned institutions: a Ph.D. in Economics from Oxford, an M.A. from Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, an MBA from American University in D.C., and a B.S. in Chemistry from her native Zambia.

Dead Aid incriminates international aid as having made the largest contribution to the disfunction of the continent’s economy by increasing government corruption. Her solution? Unequivocal. Completely phase out reliance on aid — a goal we all have in common, she states — look to the international bond markets to finance public sector investments, to foreign direct investment to finance private sector growth, and to micro-financing for local development.

She recently addressed a group of Beijing-based journalists. Below are a few highlights.

Moyo’s most emphatic point was about the exacerbated effect aid has had on the numerous African kleptocracies:

“Aid has allowed governments to abdicate their responsibilities of providing public goods for their people. It severs a fundamental link between a ruling government and its people. If the government does not rely on it’s people, then the people also do not rely on their government, and instead they rely on the international community who, for their own motivations, continues to give aid to Africa even though there has been a lack of delivery in the reduction of poverty and any amount of economic growth over the last few decades. The whole continent is hooked on a drug that is unsustainable.”

“There is a desperate need for African governments to be more involved — this needs to take a significant priority — and they moreover need to be the leaders in delivering economic growth. It’s not good enough for people [foreigners] to be concerned with Africa, if the leaders themselves are not concerned with Africa. There is no country on earth that has achieved long term growth and reduced poverty by relying on aid to the extent that African countries rely on aid today. We’re not children; we need to be treated as the adults that we are.”

On China’s presence in Africa, “The Chinese have done more for Africa’s infrastructure and economic growth in the last five years than America has done in the last 50. One of the greatest things they have to offer, at least on the surface, is that they are negotiating business on equal footing; the positive effect this has on governments that are often treated with condescension cannot be underestimated.”

Moyo at one point during the talk referenced the infamous 2007 Pew Global Attitudes Survey that asked Africans in ten countries to compare the influences of China and the U.S. in their own countries. In nine of the ten countries, by margins that ranged from 60-91%, African respondents said Chinese influence was good. “It suggests to me that people feel this new model seems to be working, where Africans are treated as equal partners.”

 

A rhetorical question was posed to me recently. “What area of the world has about 1 billion people, horrible infrastructure, increasingly fast growth and a burgeoning entrepreneurial sector.” The answer, the speaker noted, could be either India or Africa.

I wanted to use my first post on this blog to talk about why Africa might seriously become the third in line after China and India for a serious economic miracle, some of the problems that stand in its way, and how China fits into this story. Luckily all those questions are answered by these two graphs:

You can make the argument that Africa is ready for a serious economic miracle because in a large part its already happening. Poverty is steadily decreasing, and African growth is routinely about four percentage points below Chinese growth (and Chinese growth is really fast). Obviously this is more true for some areas of Africa than others (not so true for Zimbabwe for instance), but the overall picture is one of a continent that has gotten some traction based on increasing trade ties with China. Continue reading »

 

South African president Jacob Zuma arrived in Beijing on a state visit yesterday, with a large trade delegation in tow. China is Zuma’s last stop on his tour of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries, where he is trying to drum up investment to create job growth at home. He is scheduled to meet Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, Vice President and prime ministerial heir apparent Xi Jinping and other Chinese leaders, before flying to Shanghai on Thursday to visit the World Expo.

Among the delegation accompanying Zuma is the CEO of South African petrochemicals company SASOL, Pat Davies. Davies is in China to hear the results of a review assessing SASOL’s $10 billion bid to construct a coal to liquid project in partnership with local company Shenhua Ningxia. The deal is said to be the largest single-project joint venture in Chinese history. SASOL’s technology, developed when sanctions forced South Africa to search for alternatives to oil, has an obvious appeal in China, where coal is plentiful but oil scarce.

South Africa and China have a complicated relationship atypical of Chinese relations with the rest of the continent. China is South Africa’s largest trading partner and last year overtook the United States to become the country’s largest export destination. Although much of South Africa’s exports are unprocessed minerals and other raw materials, the two countries are also competitors and partners in the rest of Africa. Chinese bank ICBC owns a 20% stake in South Africa’s Standard Bank, which operates in 18 African countries. South African mobile network operator MTN is Africa’s largest mobile operator, while Chinese company Huawei sells the continent’s most popular handsets. Continue reading »

 

Robert Mugabe was in China last week. He attended the World Expo’s Zimbabwe Day on Thursday, met Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping in Beijing on Friday and spent the weekend shopping with his wife, Grace, in Hong Kong, where he owns a home and his daughter, Bona, attends university.

The visit coincided with a meeting about economic ties between China and Zimbabwe in Shanghai. The Zimbabwe Commerce Meeting received no attention from Western media, but according to a report in Chinese newspaper First Finance Daily (第一财经日报), Zimbabwe chose the occasion to announce that it is considering using Chinese yuan as legal tender.

The article – translated in full below – highlights just how different Chinese and Western views of events in Africa can be. According to First Finance Daily, Zimbabwe “was once called the breadbasket of Africa and the Zimbabwe dollar had a one-to-one exchange rate with the US dollar. But since 2000, when Zimbabwe implemented its ‘fast lane’ land reform policy, sanctions imposed by Western countries have caused economic collapse.” The contrast between this and an AFP report on Mugabe’s visit, which doesn’t mention the Zimbabwe Commerce Meeting, couldn’t be more stark. As AFP has it, “once a breadbasket of southern Africa, Zimbabwe’s food shortages have been brought on by drought and Mugabe’s crippling land-reform programme.”

Hopes of Yuan becoming Legal Tender in Zimbabwe
12 August

During the Zimbabwe Commerce Meeting held in Shanghai this week, Zimbabwe’s tourist department head Hon. Walter Mzembi said he had recently discussed currency issues with Chinese officials. Mzembi stated that changes to Zimbabwe’s currency system are going to be made, including allowing the yuan to circulate and become one of the country’s official currencies .  ”I hope that in the future, people in Zimbabwe will be able to use Chinese bank cards and the yuan to make purchases, even take out RMB loans,” he said. Continue reading »

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